Residential Real Estate News
Monaco's Exploding Wealth Immigration Drives Intense Housing Pressure
According to property consultant Knight Frank, the Principality of Monaco, with a population of 38,367, is home to around 141 nationalities, all within an area just over half the size of Central Park.
Despite its small size, Monaco remains a leading global safe haven and low-tax jurisdiction. Knight Frank's wealth sizing model predicts a 23% increase in ultra-high-net-worth individuals (those with a net worth of $30 million or more) in the next five years, while the number of dollar millionaires is expected to grow by 43% during the same period.
With only 21,123 dwellings--81% of which are privately owned--Monaco faces intense pressure to expand to meet housing demand. After years of undersupply, two significant projects are set to be completed this year, though most units are already sold.
The first project, Bay House, consists of two 25-story towers adding 56 apartments and five rooftop villas. Developed by Groupe Marzocco, the same firm behind Le Tour Odéon, Bay House is part of the larger Testimonio II development, which also includes a nursery and a new campus for Monaco's prestigious International School.
The second project, Mareterra, is a €2 billion land reclamation initiative that will increase Monaco's surface area by 3%. Many units have sold, with some fetching prices of €100,000 per square meter or more. The development offers 110 apartments and 10 villas, six of which are waterfront properties. Designed by renowned architect Renzo Piano, Mareterra will also feature a waterside promenade, a retail plaza, and a small marina.
It's not just the ultra-wealthy experiencing housing challenges. Monegasques, who make up a third of Monaco's 39,000 residents, are also feeling the strain. To address this, Prince Albert initiated a 15-year housing plan in 2019, aiming to increase the number of state-owned apartments by 43%, bringing the total to 4,548 units.
Why Is Monaco So Sought After?
"We're seeing a marked increase in inquiries from buyers considering relocating to Monaco," says James Davies, head of Knight Frank's Monaco Desk.
Rising taxes, geopolitical tensions, and unpredictable policy changes are making Monaco, along with Switzerland, increasingly attractive. A recent survey by Knight Frank revealed that security and privacy are the top reasons high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) are relocating, followed by employment opportunities and tax benefits.
"With the shifting political and economic landscape, some buyers, after years of consideration, now feel that the time is right to make the move."
The UK Government's decision to end the rules around non-doms--74,000 individuals who live in the UK but don't pay tax on foreign income--and uncertainty over new inheritance tax rules have put Monaco on the radar for many HNWIs. They are also considering Monaco in light of recent wealth and flat tax changes across Europe.
Monaco Market Update
In 2023, Monaco recorded 418 residential sales, with 388 being resales. The resale market saw a 10% year-on-year decline in transactions, with the sharpest drop in sales of smaller apartments, likely due to changes in the residency application process.
Since 2020, Monaco's residency rules have required applicants to rent or purchase a property that matches the size of their household, increasing demand for larger homes.
According to Monaco's statistics agency, IMSEE, over 60% of new build sales and 21% of resales last year were for apartments with three or more bedrooms. Developers have responded by offering larger units in new developments.
Due to limited land for development, new housing delivery in Monaco is highly variable. While no new units were added in 2023, major projects like Bay House and Mareterra are expected to deliver over 180 homes, significantly boosting supply when 2024 figures are published.
Despite short-term sales declines, property prices in Monaco remain resilient, having grown 38% over the past decade. In 2024, price growth returned to positive territory with a 1% overall increase, while the La Condamine neighborhood saw a 19.7% year-on-year surge in prices based on completed sales.
