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Texas Mortgage Market Becomes Optimistic as Originations Rebound

Texas Mortgage Market Becomes Optimistic as Originations Rebound

Residential News » Dallas Edition | By Michael Gerrity | April 13, 2023 8:05 AM ET


According to the latest Texas Residential Mortgage Survey, U.S. mortgage-interest rates dipped lower in March 2023, leading to increased business activity and an improved outlook across Texas' residential mortgage market.

The volume and average value of home-purchase originations continued to rebound from last year's contraction, and additional growth is expected over the next six months.

"The spring buying season has begun as evidenced by increased mortgage loan pre-approvals and applications for purchase transactions," according to Matt Kike, vice president of the Texas Mortgage Bankers Association. "Borrowers locked in slightly lower interest rates in March, and Texas mortgage bankers expect rates to fall further into summer."

"If rates do continue to moderate, as predicted in the TRMS, we would expect to see continuing increases in purchase originations over and above seasonally expected improvements," said Dr. Adam Perdue, research economist at the Texas Real Estate Research Center. "This would translate into increased home sales and prices."

Single-family home prices jumped nearly 40 percent during the pandemic boom based on the TRERC Home Price Index. A portion of that growth receded in the 2nd half of 2022, but the pace of the price correction has slowed so far this year.

The monthly survey is a collaborative effort between the Texas Mortgage Bankers Association and TRERC to provide contemporaneous analysis of changes and conditions in the residential mortgage industry.


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