Housing Starts in U.S. Down 11.2 Percent in Late 2018

According to new data from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department, and partially due to the Government shutdown, U.S. housing starts fell 11.2 percent in December 2018 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.08 million units.

Multifamily starts also fell 20.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 320,000 units while single-family production posted a 6.7 percent decline to 758,000 units.

However, single-family and multifamily starts each posted a yearly gain. Single-family production was up 2.8 percent in 2018 to a rate of 872,800, the highest annual figure since the Great Recession. Multifamily starts posted a 5.5 percent gain in 2018 to 373,700 units.

"Looking back, the December drop in housing production correlated with the peak increase in mortgage rates and corresponding decline in builder sentiment," said NAHB Chairman Greg Ugalde. "During that time, builders adopted a cautious wait-and-see approach as demonstrated in the rise of single-family and multifamily units that were permitted but not under construction."

"Looking ahead, we expect single-family production will be relatively flat in 2019 and multifamily starts will level off as well," said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. "The biggest challenge facing builders this year will be ongoing housing affordability concerns as they continue to grapple with a shortage of construction workers, a lack of buildable lots and excessive regulatory burdens."

Overall permits--which are an indicator of future housing production--inched up 0.3 percent in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.33 million. Single-family permits fell 2.2 percent to an 829,000 unit pace in December while multifamily permits increased 4.9 percent to an annualized rate of 497,000.

For 2018, single-family permits posted a 4 percent gain of 852,700 over the previous year while multifamily permits edged down 0.9 percent to 458,000.

Regionally in December, combined single-family and multifamily housing starts were unchanged in the Northeast. Starts fell 26.3 percent in the West, 13.2 percent in the Midwest and 6 percent in the South.

Overall permit issuance in December rose 17.1 percent in the West. Permits were down 6 percent in the Northeast, 17.6 percent in the Midwest and 2 percent in the South.